BISR comment

Demirov: Belarus' GDP Showed 1.3% Decline In The First Four Months Of 2020

20 november 2020
Belarus Today
Systemic crises, or demand crises, as in other cyclical crises, encounter such phenomena when all assets and markets fall at the same time. That is, there is a general fall and a period of decline, then comes a gradual activity revitalization activity and an ascending trend. But at this stage, things are somewhat different: some markets are falling, while others are continuing to grow...

The Cynical Side Of The «Soft Power»

02 november 2020
Belarus Today
The degree of instability around the globe is only increasing. Of no exception is the post-Soviet space as evidenced by the events emerging in the Ukraine, Georgia, Armenia and Kyrgyzstan. Against this background, Belarus has every chance to break this trend, since there is a consolidated support for the President by all the centers of power: including the power bloc, the media resour...

Belarus can bargain the most favourable working conditions through Russian ports

10 september 2020
Myfin.by
How convenient can it be for Belarus to divert its cargo flows from the Baltic States to Russian ports? Do we have an opportunity to make a deal with Russia about benefits and discounts on this transshipment? Alexey Avdonin, BISR analyst, told this to Myfin.by. ...

By its nature the Church stands above clashes and trenches

01 september 2020
Zvyazda
The events of this summer have affected all aspects of life, not leaving the religious sphere on the sidelines. Churches make special and joint prayers, representatives of different confessions and priests come forward with statements, address the state authorities, visit the detained and injured during the protests, speak to the mass media. Many statements and versions appeared in th...

What irreversible consequences for the economy have the calls for strikes and stoppage of production...

20 august 2020
Belarus Segodnya
The organizers of the protests continue to spread the calls for a complete halt of industrial giants and promise financial assistance. For example, the so-called the "national strike committee" promises to give USD 100,000 for Minsk Tractor Plant, Minsk Wheel Tractor Plant and "Grodno Azot". Protesters are promised the money from the "fund to assist the strikers", which has already co...

losses of Belarus in case of the exit from the EAEU could reach a quarter of GDP

20 august 2020
BELTA
Losses of Belarus in case of the exit from the EAEU could reach a quarter of GDP. Analyst of the Belarusian Institute for Strategic Research Vitaly Demirov spoke about it to BELTA. "Taking into account the direct and indirect aspects of trade and economic impacts of Belarus and the EAEU, the effect of co-operation is about half of the current GDP. I would predict that the losses that...

Experts – on the achilles’ heel of digitalized elections and polls

31 july 2020
Belarus Segodnya
The advance of information technologies has made digitalization a reality that has deeply rooted in our daily lives. And electoral processes are no exception. Even IT platforms have already been announced, which will supposedly provide remote monitoring of elections and alternative counting of votes. Nikolay Sukhotsky and Svetlana Aleinikova, discuss the risks and challenges of such p...

Here’s what needs to be done to avoid devaluation of the ruble in 2021

23 july 2020
Myfin.by
In Belarus, the draft budget for 2021 assumes a dollar exchange rate at around 2,4 rubles, 103,5% of GDP and an average annual oil price of around $40 per barrel. How possible is that the dollar and other indicators will be at the anticipated level and what factors does it depend on? This is what BISR analyst Alexei Avdonin said in his comment for Myfin.by. ...

Who and why needed to turn Telegram-channels into information weapons?

21 july 2020
Belarus Segodnya
It is a pity that young people are being used by curators as food for powder through anonymous Telegram-channels, while sitting in soft chairs somewhere abroad. Criminal cases are being initiated and violators are being detained. The closer the presidential elections are, the more actively destructive messengers are calling for rioting in the streets, replicating hoaxes, spewing threa...

Lithuania urges against BelNPP commissioning and distributes iodine pills. Belarus came up with an a...

20 july 2020
CTV
Energy security of the nation, readiness to put BelNPP into operation, as well as project evaluation by the international expert community - these topics became the subject of a discussion in the TV show "In Peaceful Atmosphere".   ...

“Now we need crisis managers”: Avdonin talks about the new government

03 june 2020
Sputnik
Under the current circumstances, the most demanded people will be those who clearly understand the market and know how to negotiate with partners at various spaces and attract resources, - says economic expert Alexei Avdonin. ...

Agribusiness, petrochemicals and mechanical engineering will continue driving the belarusian economy...

28 may 2020
BELTA
This opinion was expressed to the Belarusian Telegraph Agency (BelTA) correspondent by Alexey Avdonin, an analyst at the Belarusian Institute for Strategic Research (BISR). ...