In the context of assessing the Great Game rules, special attention should be given to South-East Asia (SEA) or the ASEAN region, which plays an important role in the global economic and political discourse. Recently, there is an increasing number of positive forecasts about prospects f...
A longstanding antipathy towards "forever wars" has led the U.S. President Joe Biden to announce on April 13 the withdrawal of U.S. troop from Afghanistan by September 11 this year, – a symbolic date that matches the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center in New York City and the P...
It is encouraging to see how a science-based approach to predicting events works in practice. One example is the author's theoretical forecast which is a month old, that seems to be starting to take shape.
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Amid geopolitical and pandemic turbulence, there is a clear rising trend of regionalization which can be regarded as a form of a new multi-vector approach. In the first approximation, such format can be described as an informal "club of interests" when global (regional) actors form a co...
Following the topic of the Quadrilateral security dialogue (Quad) between the US, India, Australia and Japan highlighted in the article статье, I drew attention to the article "A Quad-plus-6 Indo-Pacific strategy" by my Indian colleague Namrata Hasija, a research fellow at the Centre fo...
"Si vis pacem, para bellum" ("If you want peace, prepare for war") – Cornelius Nepos
Amid noticeable enhancement of multi-format global peacekeeping initiatives in Afghanistan, broad efforts of regional players, such as Uzbekistan, on this vector, and signs of a certain relaxation in K...
New Multiple Vectors as Resilience Factor of Small and Medium-Sized Countries in Post-Pandemic World
A comparative analysis of the outcomes of two international events held in November 2020 and March 2021 prompted a return to the multiple vectors despite the clear and unambiguous emphasis placed by the head of state on this issue at the 6th All-Belarusian People's Assembly. Moreover, t...
Amid increasing recognition of the Asia and Pacific region (APR) as the engine and center of future global development and growth, it is important to highlight the historic event held on March 12 – the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue virtual summit at the level of the United States, Jap...
The periods of the severe crises that we all have experienced and are going through today have always opened up the astral plane of new possibilities. In this regard, I would like to ask the question — is it not the right time to formulate a national idea?
I think I will not be mistake...
As shown by the retrospective analysis of the events progression dynamics, in most countries, fake news is systematically transformed from a routine element of the media space into a threat to national security. This unfavourable reality is publicly recognised not only by small and medi...
Over the past decades, the issue of fake information in India has become a serious problem. And although the country has a stable and well-deserved reputation as one of the world's IT leaders, until recently, the authorities paid relatively little attention to both the introduction of c...
10 years after the Green Revolution of 2009 and two years after the events of 2017-2018, Iran has again been overwhelmed by a wave of mass violent protests. This time, the formal reason was a 2-fold increase in gasoline prices and restrictions on the sale of fuel. Spontaneous demonstrat...